Underwriting policy

Adjust thresholds and watch every recommendation in the queue update. Trade-offs are measured on the model's held-out test set.

Effect on the queue
36 applications, current vs default policy
  • Approve
    16—
  • Refer
    17—
  • Decline
    3—
Risk at this cut-off
Approving scores ≥ 660 on 827 held-out customers
Approval rate
53%
Default rate
7.3%

Without a model, approving everyone would mean a 25% default rate.

Cut-off trade-off

Each row: approve everyone at or above this score. Hover to compare.

Score cut-offApproval rateDefault rate among approved
540
95%
20.3%
560
91%
18.7%
580
86%
17.5%
600
79%
15.9%
620
71%
12.9%
640
60%
9.1%
660
53%
7.3%
Current
680
42%
6.3%
700
32%
4.9%
720
26%
4.1%
740
20%
2.4%
760
15%
0.0%
780
9%
0.0%